Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004659 0.004911 0.005170 0.005456 0.005764 0.006087 0.006450
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004278 0.004659 0.005068 0.005542 0.006079 0.006670 0.007374
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003992 0.004442 0.004940 0.005536 0.006235 0.007034 0.008024
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003753 0.004246 0.004805 0.005492 0.006319 0.007293 0.008542
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003525 0.004042 0.004640 0.005389 0.006312 0.007428 0.008899
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003340 0.003876 0.004504 0.005306 0.006316 0.007564 0.009253
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003225 0.003784 0.004450 0.005315 0.006427 0.007831 0.009783
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003026 0.003579 0.004247 0.005124 0.006268 0.007738 0.009823
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002944 0.003514 0.004212 0.005142 0.006377 0.007996 0.010348
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002923 0.003524 0.004269 0.005280 0.006646 0.008479 0.011211
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002817 0.003420 0.004176 0.005214 0.006637 0.008576 0.011525
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002737 0.003347 0.004120 0.005193 0.006685 0.008753 0.011964
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002644 0.003255 0.004035 0.005132 0.006679 0.008856 0.012305
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002610 0.003239 0.004052 0.005211 0.006871 0.009255 0.013127
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002547 0.003182 0.004011 0.005205 0.006941 0.009477 0.013683
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002475 0.003110 0.003947 0.005164 0.006956 0.009613 0.014107
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002388 0.003016 0.003848 0.005069 0.006886 0.009613 0.014304
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002313 0.002935 0.003765 0.004994 0.006840 0.009648 0.014559
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002271 0.002897 0.003741 0.005002 0.006921 0.009884 0.015173
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002169 0.002775 0.003595 0.004826 0.006710 0.009644 0.014935
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002135 0.002746 0.003579 0.004843 0.006800 0.009892 0.015582
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002138 0.002769 0.003637 0.004969 0.007066 0.010443 0.016825
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.002082 0.002707 0.003572 0.004908 0.007030 0.010487 0.017122